National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) expects a near-normal 2023 hurricane season for the Atlantic. NOAA forecasts a range of 12 to 17 total named storms, 5 to 9 hurricanes and 1 to 4 major hurricanes.
As mentioned in our earlier Hurricane Season Forecasts for 2023 there are two influences that have the opposite effect on hurricane development in the Atlantic Ocean. The tropical Atlantic Ocean temperature encourages hurricane development and El Niño leads to weaker east winds that often results in fewer hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean. These two factors led to the near-normal forecast by NOAA.
NOAA is predicting a slightly more active Pacific hurricane season for 2023 in the central Pacific hurricane region. This activity is expected to include 4 to 7 tropical cyclones—tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes.
The central Pacific and Atlantic hurricane seasons both start on June 1 and end November 30.
NOAA will extend its forecast range from five to seven days this year for both the Atlantic and the Central Pacific. This will allow more time for individuals and communities to prepare.
Regardless whether high or low hurricane activity is forecast for the season, it’s best to prepare early in case a storm hits your home or community. The Red Cross and other organizations offer advice for preparing before and staying safe during and after a storm.
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