The 2019 Atlantic hurricane season officially starts on June 1 and runs through November 30. Although the NOAA forecast is not yet available, three other hurricane forecasts have been published. They provide slight differences in their predictions, from 5 to 7 hurricanes and 2 to 4 major hurricanes.
Colorado State University has forecast a total of 13 named storms with 5 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes. This prediction is based the assumption that an El Niño will continue through the summer.
AccuWeather has forecast 12 to 14 named storms, including 5 to 7 hurricanes and 2 to 4 major hurricanes.
The Weather Company forecast 14 names storms, with 7 hurricanes that include 3 major hurricanes.
The average Atlantic hurricane season has 12 named storms, six hurricanes and between two to three major hurricanes.
The forecast is for 2 to 4 major hurricanes.
Since there is no relationship between how many hurricanes are forecast for a season and their impact on communities that are along the shore as well as inland, anyone who is potentially in the path of hurricanes is advised to start preparing early. The National Weather Service provides information about hurricane preparedness and the Red Cross offers advice for before, during and after a hurricane.
Although the season officially starts June 1, August is when the peak of the season occurs. The changes in ocean temperature, El Niño, wind shear at high altitudes, and other aspects can change the likelihood of storms and hurricanes. Early forecasts are sometimes updated as the season approaches due to factors that were not seen earlier in the Spring.
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